Download or read book Stock Price Predictions written by Azhar Ul Haque Sario and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2023-07-13 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Stock Price Predictions: An Introduction to Probabilistic Models" is a comprehensive guide that delves into the intricate world of stock market prediction models. This book is a treasure trove of knowledge for both novice and seasoned investors, providing detailed explanations of traditional and modern approaches used to predict stock prices. In the first part of the book, "Traditional Approaches, " the author examines the most commonly used techniques for estimating share prices, such as Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, and Quantitative Analysis. It also delves into more specific methods like Sentiment Analysis, Time Series Analysis, and Machine Learning Algorithms, among others. Each method is meticulously explained, providing readers with a sound understanding of the strengths and limitations of each approach. The second part, "Understanding the World of Probability-Based Models," introduces readers to the realm of probability models, explaining their role and different types. It covers a wide range of models like ARIMA, GARCH, VAR, MGARCH, Stochastic Volatility Models, and many more. Each model is discussed in depth, with explanations of how they can be used to estimate future share prices. This section serves as an excellent resource for those seeking to expand their knowledge and skills in using probability-based models for stock price prediction. The final section, "Instances of Successful Forecasts Using Probability-Based Models," provides real-world examples of successful forecasts using these models. It includes well-known models like the Black-Scholes Model, Monte Carlo Simulations, Brownian Motion Model, ARIMA, and GARCH Model. The book concludes with a discussion on the success of more contemporary models like LSTM and Facebook's Prophet.