Assessing Fiscal Sustainability
Author | : Mr.Enzo Croce |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 35 |
Release | : 2003-07-01 |
ISBN-10 | : 9781451856569 |
ISBN-13 | : 1451856563 |
Rating | : 4/5 (563 Downloads) |
Download or read book Assessing Fiscal Sustainability written by Mr.Enzo Croce and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-07-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To monitor fiscal sustainability, this paper proposes a recursive algorithm derived from the law of motion of the debt-to-GDP ratio, subject to a government reaction function that links convergence to the targeted debt ratio with primary fiscal surpluses. Based on quarterly estimates of this algorithm in the 1990s, 12 developed and developing countries are ranked according to their degree of sustainability. For a number of countries, the paper finds evidence of causality between the fiscal policy stance and growth-adjusted real interest rates.